What Is a Forward Premium?
A forward premium is a situation in the foreign exchange market where a currency costs more for delivery on a future date than for delivery today. If the forward exchange rate for a currency is higher than its spot rate, that currency is said to trade at a premium against the other currency. The reverse situation is called a forward discount.
How It Works
Forward rates are set through agreements that lock in an exchange rate for a future date. The forward premium largely reflects the interest rate differential between the two countries. Under covered interest rate parity, an investor should earn the same return whether they invest directly in one currency or convert to the other, invest at local rates, and lock in the conversion back with a forward contract. For this to hold, the currency with the lower interest rate trades at a forward premium against the currency with the higher rate.
The annualized forward premium can be approximated as:
Forward premium ≈ (Forward rate − Spot rate) ÷ Spot rate × (days in a year ÷ days to maturity)
Day-count conventions vary by market, so the exact figure depends on the quoting method.
Why It Matters to Investors
Consider an exporter who expects to receive foreign payment in six months. If the foreign currency trades at a forward premium, selling it forward yields more domestic currency per unit than converting at today's spot rate. This is a locked-in trade-off, not a guaranteed profit.
Investors use forward premiums to compare hedged and unhedged returns on foreign bonds and deposits, since the premium can offset or add to the yield difference. However, a forward rate is not a forecast of the future spot rate. Research has often found that currencies trading at a forward premium do not depreciate as much as the forward rate implies, a pattern known as the forward premium puzzle. Investors should also remember that forward contracts carry counterparty risk and reduce flexibility.
Updated October 31, 2026. For general education only; not financial, tax or legal advice.